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Daily Report 10.27.04

State of the Market

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I mentioned last night that some good news could really send this market.. and good news we got!  The big drop in crude on an unexpected rise in inventories as well as some decent economic data put traders in a buying mood ahead of elections.  For the second straight day, volume surged higher than the day before creating an unprecedented two straight days of accumulation!  The last time that happened was exactly one month ago.  Today's action was a major boost to a tired market in danger of rolling over, but key resistance remains before an all out rally can be declared.  The end of the elections could just be the final catalyst to send the bears into hibernation for good!

Let's take another look at the major indices to get an idea of where we've been and where we need to be.  We'll start with the Nasdaq which is comprised of the majority of CANSLIM style stocks.  Clearly, today was a big step in the right direction as the Nasdaq surged above resistance of the 200 day moving average.  However, another large hurdle remains in the form of the downward trend line.  If the Nasdaq can get above this line and find support there once it does, that would be a MAJOR accomplishment.

The S&P battled two major areas of resistance today (the 50 and 200 day moving averages) and came out on top... of both resistance levels.  While this is impressive action, it too has yet to overcome the downward trend line.

The Dow, a conglomerate of large, blue chip, slow growers has clearly lagged the rest of the market this year and remains submerged below all major resistance levels.  These levels include "psychological" resistance of Dow 10,000, the 50 day moving average, the 200 day moving average and the downward trend line.

State of the Market & Daily Report Archives
What's This?
(click a linked day to see a past report)

September 2004

Mon. Tues. Wed. Thurs. Fri.
    1     (9+) 2    (10+) 3      (6+)
6 7     (9+) 8      - 9     (6+) 10   (5-)
13  (6+) 14   (4-) 15   (4+) 16  (7+) 17   (3+)
20  (2+) 21 (13+) 22   (2+) 23  (1+) 24    (8-)
27   (2-) 28   (7+) 29   (4+) 30  (10+)  

October 2004

Mon. Tues. Wed. Thurs. Fri.
        1 C(19+)
4    (10+) 5       (6-) 6     (8+) 7        (2-) 8        (2-)
11   (0-) 12    (2-) 13     (3-) 14    (5+) 15    (3+)
18    (3-) 19    (9+) 20    (1+) 21    (6+) 22     (2-)
25    (2-) 26     (3-) 27   (10-) 28 29

Today's Big Market Movers

Ticker Company Industry Price Change (%) Volume Change (%)
FFIV F5 Networks Internet Software & Services 20.90 870
EEFT Euronet Worldwide Business & Management Services 8.73 771
LSCP Laserscope Medical Appliances & Equip 31.86 768
ISRG Intuitive Surgical Medical Appliances & Equip 19.02 404
SINA Sina Corp Internet Software & Services 28.41 358

Wow! There were some BIG movers today!

Performance of Leading Stocks
Near a Breakout - .68%
Broke Out - .66%
*10 Breakouts Today
*

Market Change % Change Close Support/Resistance Accum/Dist
Nasdaq

41.20

2.14%

1969.99

Closes above resistance of the 200DMA with a heavy volume surge in buying

Accumulation

Dow

113.55

1.15%

10002.03

Nice bounce off the lows of the year

-

S&P 500

14.31

1.29%

1125.40

Surges back above support of 1100 - will hit resistance of the 50DMA

Accumulation

Sector & Industry Watch


Sectors
Today's Best Performer: Airlines 4.25%
Today's Worst Performer:Oil Services  3.25%

Sector/ETF 15 Day%  30 Days%  45 Days% 60 Days%
Airlines -6.08 -10.38 -9.20 -7.25
Banks -3.14 -3.45 -1.82 1.11
Biotech -9.27 -6.63 -.73 1.74
Broker/Dealer 1.23 .37 3.89 8.85
Defense -5.61 -2.28 .59 -.42
Gold/Silver 2.51 10.04 6.39 17.70
Healthcare -13.03 -8.85 -4.34 -2.68
Housing -6.26 -5.90 -2.02 2.11
Insurance -5.69 -4.80 -3.24 -2.51
Internet 3.64 8.20 12.79 11.46
Natural Gas 1.73 8.18 11.65 10.30
Oil .55 7.06 11.02 8.57
Oil Services -.24 6.07 12.06 9.20
Pharma -6.71 -8.84 -8.41 -6.93
Retail .03 2.43 6.86 8.40
Semiconductors -2.49 .52 2.32 -5.11
Software 1.45 6.48 11.09 8.91
Telecom -.80 -.78 4.51 4.89
Wireless -1.53 3.32 8.23 12.27

The Quiet Ascension of the Brokers & Dealers



Much of the attention lately has focused on technology (especially Google!), but behind the scenes, Brokers and Dealers are staging a nice advance as well.  As the index works its way up the right side of its base, notice the good support at the 50 day moving average and then the surge above resistance of the 200 day moving average today.

 Taking a look at the Breakout Tracker, there are currently 7 stocks listed in this sector (that make up the Asset Management and Investment Brokerage industries).  Six out of 7 have broken out to gains with an average  gain of 10% (two are still in a buyable range).


Industry Groups
Industry groups are smaller subsets of sectors and allow us to further pinpoint where in the market the strength lies. 

Today's Best Performers: Drugs Wholesale 11.41% 
Today's Worst Performer: Metal Fabrication 5.51%

New Premium Feature! The performance table now contains links to the Breakout Tracker showing stocks for that particular industry.  This makes it easy to find the best stocks in the top performing industries!  Stocks in the Breakout Tracker are only the best hand selected stocks nearing a breakout.  

It's No Coincidence that the Big Market Mover's consistently come from the top industries listed below... as a Premium Member you'll always know when top stocks in top industries are near a breakout.. 

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Rank

10 Day Performance

20 Day Performance

30 Day Performance

1Security Software & Services (3)Security Software & Services (3)Shipping (4)
2Drugs Wholesale (0)Specialty Eateries (1)Security Software & Services (3)
3Auto Parts Stores (0)Internet Software & Services (8)Internet Info Providers (4)
4Drug Delivery (0)Advertising Agencies (0)Nonmetallic Mineral Mining (0)
5Textile Manufacturing (2)Railroads (2)Advertising Agencies (0)
6Semiconductor - Specialized (0)Technical & System Software (4)Silver (0)
7Advertising Agencies (0)Apparel Stores (4)Railroads (2)
8Semiconductor Equipment & Materials (3)Internet Info Providers (4)Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing (2)
9Semiconductor - Broadline (1)Information & Delivery Service (2)Trucking (7)
10Information & Delivery Service (2)Application Software (3)Gold (0)
11Technical Services (2)Auto Parts Stores (0)Specialty Eateries (1)
12Sporting Activities (0)Trucking (7)Resorts & Casinos (4)
13Sporting Good Stores (1)Semiconductor - Broadline (1)Industrial Metals & Minerals (8)
14Broadcasting - Radio (0)Broadcasting - Radio (0)Electronics Stores (1)
15Staffing & Outsourcing Service (3)Processing Systems & Products (1)Oil & Gas - Independent (13)
16Internet Software & Services (8)Electronics Stores (1)Aluminum (2)
17Electronics Stores (1)Semiconductor - Specialized (0)Application Software (3)
18Home Furnishing Stores (0)Shipping (4)Semiconductor - Broadline (1)
19Railroads (2)General Entertainment (2)Diversified Communication Services (0)
20Auto Dealerships (0)REIT - Residential (0)Internet Software & Services (8)

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